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The #NFL S&M gap

The #NFL playoffs has been nostalgic – a trip back to high school football. I’ve had flashbacks to the 1980-90’s during my first 12 years of my 40-year coaching career, as high school head coach – the 100/200 Pass-Run Ratio.

Three #NFL playoff games have featured my 1980-90’s high school football stats – the 100/200 Pass-Run Ratio, a formula that #WonBig in high school because of The S&M Gap, the Strength & Muscle long-distance gap that separated strong teams and weak teams.

Three #NFL playoffs wins during the past month have featured quarterbacks passing under 100 yards combined with a running back that gained almost 200 yards or more. The 100-200 yard pass-run ratio was our proven high school winning formula that we used for over a decade to turnaround three dead high school programs. The 100-200 pass-run ratio was the result of the combined effect of the following factors:

  1. Maximum-Minimum Rule: Fear of passing plus minimum reps invested in passing.
  2. Survival of the #Strongest Rule.

I feared passing, quarterbacks, receivers, pass blockers. I didn’t trust any of them because I didn’t trust my coaching of the passing game. You don’t practice what you fear. You practice the least what you fear the most. You invest the least reps in what scares you the most. Consequently, I invested heavily in running-game reps and weight-room reps. That formula worked out because we worked out harder than any of our competition. We #WonBig, not because of Xs and Os but because of X Fitness and O Fitness. When our Xs and Os were stronger than their Xs and Os, we #WonBig. Perfect undefeated seasons.

The  Law of Proportion governs the S&M Gap – the higher you go, the smaller the S&M gap:

  1. The biggest gap is in high school.
  2. Small gap in college
  3. Smaller gap in the #NFL.
  4. Smallest gap in the #NFL playoffs

The 100-200 Pass-Run Ratio is not supposed to work in the #NFL or the #NFL playoffs because the S&M Gap is negligible in the #NFL and in the #NFL playoffs.

The 100-200 yards pass-run ratio is a reversal of the normal #NFL negligible S&M Gap:

  • 98.6% of #NFL running backs average under 100 rushing per game.
  • 98.6% of #NFL quarterbacks average 200-plus yards per game.

That changed during 3 NFL playoff games. 3 NFL playoff games feature high school pass-run stats:

  1. Tennessee Titan QB Ryan Tannehill passed for under 100 yards twice in the NFL playoffs and won both games – just 72 yards and 88 yards against the New England Patriots and Baltimore Ravens, while Tennessee running back Derrick Henry rushed for almost 200 yards in both games.
  2. San Francisco QB Jimmy Garoppolo passed for only 77 yards while 49er running back Raheem Mostert gained 220 yards with 4 TDs in the 49er demolition of the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Championship Game.

The 80-20 run-pass percentage worked out in high school because the Giant S&M Gap, not because running plays are better than passing plays, a myth that has been passed down by the Football Establishment from one generation to another.


  1. There is a Giant S&M Gap in the NFL.
  2. The S&M Gap Model has been shattered – there is no longer a negligible Strength & Muscle Gap in the NFL. The NFL S&M Gap has become the same as the high school S&M Gap.
  3. The bigger the S&M Gap, the more weaker teams get pushed around, #mauled, and embarrassed.
  4. Running doesn’t win championships. Neither does passing. Strength wins. Weakness loses.
  5. PMS has hit the NFL. Post-Modern Society has caused Culture Shock in the NFL.
  6. Here’s what PMS looks like, sounds like, feels like: Nothing makes sense any more. #AssBackwardMentality takes over.

#MUCHLOVE #soulofalifter

Blessings + all good things


Gino Arcaro

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